Betting Strategies and Statistics
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***SAMPLE PAGE***
This is Inside the Numbers' sample Betting Strategies and Statistics
Page for NFL week 11. This information comes with our
Works Membership, which can be purchased on our
Subscriptions page.
NFL Picks for Week 14 - Buy Now ($9.99)
Lines and Odds updated at 10am (PDT) on
11/13/2008
Works Member Page
Pick Six: These six predictions consist of our four most
likely to occur straight up picks, our most likely to occur against the
spread pick, and our most likely to occur over/under pick.
Pick Six
Best of the Rest: Our next most confident predictions we
recommend after the Pick Six. The number of predictions we add to the
BOTR will vary from week to week, but usually it will have at least 2
predictions in it. Most likely they will be against the spread picks,
and rarely will they be over/under picks.
Best of the Rest
Parlay Trio: We create three different parlays based on our
unique statistics. Each is designed for a certain style or mentality of
betting. We try not to include picks that have a likely chance of being
OFF by our preferred sportsbooks.
Parlay Trio
Complete betting table: This is a table of every prediction we
make in a week. Every game has three different predictions, and most
weeks consist of about 13-16 games, so usually there will be 39-48 picks
in the table. This is a good place to look if you think our parlays are
crazy and feel like creating one of your own.
Complete Table | Money
Line Table | Against the Spread Table |
Over/Under Table
Pick Six - Week 11, 2008
(One straight up pick, five spread picks)
|
Bet to make |
Bet
Type |
Margin |
On
odds of |
Probability of being correct |
Expected Value (on a $100 bet) |
| St.
Louis to cover spread |
RT by 19+ |
20.6 |
-110 |
84.2% |
$160.77 |
|
Washington to win |
HT by 6 |
6.3 |
100 |
71.8% |
$143.53 |
|
Cincinnati to cover spread |
RT by 3 |
3.2 |
-110 |
75.0% |
$143.18 |
| Oakland
to cover spread |
HT by 3 |
3.5 |
-110 |
69.8% |
$133.28 |
|
Tennessee to cover spread |
RT by 3 |
28.2 |
-110 |
67.3% |
$128.57 |
| Houston
to cover spread |
HT by 10 |
9.8 |
-110 |
64.1% |
$122.30 |
Orange highlight = Pick
of the week (POTW)
Best of the Rest - Week 11, 2008
(Our next most confident picks we recommend)
|
Bet to make |
Bet
Type |
Margin |
On
odds of |
Probability of being correct |
Expected Value (on a $100 bet) |
| Tampa
Bay to win |
HT by 16 |
16.2 |
-190 |
76.6% |
$116.86 |
| Kansas
City to cover spread |
HT by 4 |
4.0 |
-110 |
59.5% |
$113.64 |
| NY
Giants to cover spread |
HT by 9 |
9.4 |
-110 |
59.4% |
$113.35 |
| Buffalo
to cover spread |
HT by 1 |
0.8 |
-110 |
55.9% |
$106.74 |
| Arizona
to cover spread |
RT by 9 |
8.7 |
-110 |
55.0% |
$105.00 |
|
Pittsburgh to win |
HT by 17 |
16.6 |
-230 |
72.9% |
$104.57 |
Inside the Numbers Parlay Trio - Week 11, 2008
(Three different parlay bets, one low risk, medium
risk, and high risk)
|
Parlay/Teaser |
Bets |
On Odds of |
Probability |
Expected Value (on a $100 bet) |
|
Looking to retire by the time we colonize Mars |
AS - STL to cover AS - CIN to cover |
264 |
63% |
$230.05 |
|
Looking to retire by the next Summer Olympics |
7 Point Teaser (Bodog) TEN +4 STL +13.5 CIN +16 |
140 |
64% |
$153.60 |
|
Looking to retire by the end of this season |
AS - STL to Cover ML - WAS to win AS - CIN to cover |
627 |
45 |
$329.33 |
ML - Money
Line | AS - Against Spread | Home Team - HT | Road Team - RT
Complete Betting Table - Week 11, 2008
Back
to top | Complete Table |
Money Line Table | Against the Spread Table |
Over/Under Table
|
Bet to make |
Bet
Type |
Margin |
On
odds of |
Probability of being correct |
Expected Value (on a $100 bet) |
| ML - St.
Louis to win |
RT by 15 |
14.6 |
245 |
57.9% |
$199.74 |
| AS - St.
Louis to cover spread |
RT by 19+ |
20.6 |
-110 |
84.2% |
$160.77 |
| ML -
Washington to win |
HT by 6 |
6.3 |
105 |
69.9% |
$143.28 |
| AS -
Cincinnati to cover spread |
RT by 3 |
3.2 |
-110 |
75.0% |
$143.18 |
|
AS - Washington to cover spread |
HT by 8 |
7.8 |
-110 |
72.0% |
$137.54 |
| AS -
Oakland to cover spread |
HT by 3 |
3.5 |
-110 |
69.8% |
$133.28 |
| AS -
Tennessee to cover spread |
RT by 0 |
28.2 |
-110 |
67.3% |
$128.57 |
| AS -
Houston to cover spread |
HT by 10 |
9.8 |
-110 |
64.1% |
$122.30 |
| AS -
Tampa Bay to cover spread |
RT by 0 |
12.7 |
-110 |
64.1% |
$122.30 |
| ML -
Tennessee to win |
RT by 3 |
31.2 |
-150 |
71.4% |
$119.05 |
| ML -
Tampa Bay to win |
HT by 16 |
16.2 |
-190 |
76.6% |
$116.86 |
| AS -
Kansas City to cover spread |
HT by 4 |
4.0 |
-110 |
59.5% |
$113.64 |
| AS - NY
Giants to cover spread |
HT by 9 |
9.4 |
-110 |
59.4% |
$113.35 |
| Over -
BAL @ NYG |
Over |
23.5 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
CLE @ BUF |
Over |
3.5 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
DAL @ WAS |
Over |
9.0 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
DEN @ ATL |
Over |
2.0 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
DET @ CAR |
Over |
4.0 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
MIN @ TB |
Over |
16.5 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
NYJ @ NE |
Over |
11.5 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
OAK @ MIA |
Over |
1.5 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
SD @ PIT |
Over |
8.0 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
TEN @ JAC |
Over |
15.5 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| AS -
Buffalo to cover spread |
HT by 1 |
0.8 |
-110 |
55.9% |
$106.74 |
| AS -
Arizona to cover spread |
RT by 9 |
8.7 |
-110 |
55.0% |
$105.00 |
| ML -
Pittsburgh to win |
HT by 17 |
16.6 |
-230 |
72.9% |
$104.57 |
| Under -
ARI @ SEA |
Under |
16.5 |
-110 |
54.0% |
$103.09 |
| Under -
CHI @ GB |
Under |
5.0 |
-110 |
54.0% |
$103.09 |
| Under -
HOU @ IND |
Under |
9.5 |
-110 |
54.0% |
$103.09 |
| Under -
NO @ KC |
Under |
26.0 |
-110 |
54.0% |
$103.09 |
| Under -
PHI @ CIN |
Under |
10.0 |
-110 |
54.0% |
$103.09 |
| Under -
STL @ SF |
Under |
14.0 |
-110 |
54.0% |
$103.09 |
| ML - NY
Giants to win |
HT by 16 |
15.9 |
-300 |
76.6% |
$102.08 |
| AS - New
England to cover spread |
HT by 2 |
2.2 |
-110 |
52.6% |
$100.37 |
| ML -
Buffalo to win |
HT by 6 |
5.8 |
-230 |
69.9% |
$100.28 |
| AS -
Detroit to cover spread |
HT by 12 |
12.2 |
-110 |
51.7% |
$98.64 |
| ML - New
England to win |
HT by 5 |
5.2 |
-170 |
61.9% |
$98.24 |
| AS -
Pittsburgh to cover spread |
HT by 12 |
11.6 |
-110 |
50.8% |
$97.07 |
| AS -
Atlanta to cover spread |
HT by 4 |
4.0 |
-110 |
50.7% |
$96.88 |
| ML -
Green Bay to win |
HT by 1 |
0.7 |
-210 |
65.6% |
$96.84 |
| AS -
Green Bay to cover spread |
RT by 3 |
3.3 |
-110 |
50.4% |
$96.22 |
| ML -
Arizona to win |
RT by 12 |
11.7 |
-150 |
57.5% |
$95.83 |
| ML -
Carolina to win |
HT by 18 |
18.2 |
-1000 |
83.3% |
$91.67 |
| ML -
Atlanta to win |
HT by 10 |
10.0 |
-275 |
67.2% |
$91.59 |
|
ML - Indianapolis to win |
HT by 18 |
18.3 |
-350 |
69.6% |
$89.44 |
| ML -
Miami to win |
HT by 14 |
14.0 |
-550 |
73.6% |
$86.96 |
| ML - New
Orleans to win |
RT by 1 |
1.5 |
-240 |
57.1% |
$80.95 |
| ML -
Philadelphia to win |
RT by 12 |
12.2 |
-425 |
57.5% |
$71.03 |
ML - Money
Line | AS - Against Spread | Home Team - HT | Road Team - RT
Back
to top | Complete Table |
Money Line Table | Against the Spread Table |
Over/Under Table
Money Line Table - Week 11, 2008
|
Bet to make |
Bet
Type |
Margin |
On
odds of |
Probability of being correct |
Expected Value (on a $100 bet) |
| ML - St.
Louis to win |
RT by 15 |
14.6 |
245 |
57.9% |
$199.74 |
| ML -
Washington to win |
HT by 6 |
6.3 |
105 |
69.9% |
$143.28 |
| ML -
Tennessee to win |
RT by 7 |
31.2 |
-150 |
71.4% |
$119.05 |
| ML -
Tampa Bay to win |
HT by 16 |
16.2 |
-190 |
76.6% |
$116.86 |
| ML -
Pittsburgh to win |
HT by 17 |
16.6 |
-230 |
72.9% |
$104.57 |
| ML - NY
Giants to win |
HT by 16 |
15.9 |
-300 |
76.6% |
$102.08 |
| ML -
Buffalo to win |
HT by 6 |
5.8 |
-230 |
69.9% |
$100.28 |
| ML - New
England to win |
HT by 5 |
5.2 |
-170 |
61.9% |
$98.24 |
| ML -
Green Bay to win |
HT by 1 |
0.7 |
-210 |
65.6% |
$96.84 |
| ML -
Arizona to win |
RT by 12 |
11.7 |
-150 |
57.5% |
$95.83 |
| ML -
Carolina to win |
HT by 18 |
18.2 |
-1000 |
83.3% |
$91.67 |
| ML -
Atlanta to win |
HT by 10 |
10.0 |
-275 |
67.2% |
$91.59 |
| ML -
Indianapolis to win |
HT by 18 |
18.3 |
-350 |
69.6% |
$89.44 |
| ML -
Miami to win |
HT by 14 |
14.0 |
-550 |
73.6% |
$86.96 |
| ML - New
Orleans to win |
RT by 1 |
1.5 |
-240 |
57.1% |
$80.95 |
| ML -
Philadelphia to win |
RT by 12 |
12.2 |
-425 |
57.5% |
$71.03 |
ML - Money
Line | AS - Against Spread | Home Team - HT | Road Team - RT
Back
to top | Complete Table |
Money Line Table | Against the Spread Table |
Over/Under Table
Against the Spread Table - Week 11, 2008
|
Bet to make |
Bet
Type |
Margin |
On
odds of |
Probability of being correct |
Expected Value (on a $100 bet) |
| AS - St.
Louis to cover spread |
RT by 19+ |
20.6 |
-110 |
84.2% |
$160.77 |
| AS -
Cincinnati to cover spread |
RT by 3 |
3.2 |
-110 |
75.0% |
$143.18 |
| AS -
Washington to cover spread |
HT by 8 |
7.8 |
-110 |
72.0% |
$137.54 |
| AS -
Oakland to cover spread |
HT by 3 |
3.5 |
-110 |
69.8% |
$133.28 |
| AS -
Tennessee to cover spread |
RT by 0 |
28.2 |
-110 |
67.3% |
$128.57 |
| AS -
Tampa Bay to cover spread |
RT by 0 |
12.7 |
-110 |
64.1% |
$122.30 |
| AS -
Houston to cover spread |
HT by 10 |
9.8 |
-110 |
64.1% |
$122.30 |
| AS -
Kansas City to cover spread |
HT by 4 |
4.0 |
-110 |
59.5% |
$113.64 |
| AS - NY
Giants to cover spread |
HT by 9 |
9.4 |
-110 |
59.4% |
$113.35 |
| AS -
Buffalo to cover spread |
HT by 1 |
0.8 |
-110 |
55.9% |
$106.74 |
| AS -
Arizona to cover spread |
RT by 9 |
8.7 |
-110 |
55.0% |
$105.00 |
| AS - New
England to cover spread |
HT by 2 |
2.2 |
-110 |
52.6% |
$100.37 |
| AS -
Detroit to cover spread |
HT by 12 |
12.2 |
-110 |
51.7% |
$98.64 |
|
AS - Pittsburgh to cover spread |
HT by 12 |
11.6 |
-110 |
50.8% |
$97.07 |
| AS -
Atlanta to cover spread |
HT by 4 |
4.0 |
-110 |
50.7% |
$96.88 |
| AS -
Green Bay to cover spread |
RT by 3 |
3.3 |
-110 |
50.4% |
$96.22 |
ML - Money
Line | AS - Against Spread | Home Team - HT | Road Team - RT
Back
to top | Complete Table |
Money Line Table | Against the Spread Table |
Over/Under Table
Over/Under Table - Week 11, 2008
|
Bet to make |
Bet
Type |
Margin |
On
odds of |
Probability of being correct |
Expected Value (on a $100 bet) |
| Over -
BAL @ NYG |
Over |
23.5 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
MIN @ TB |
Over |
16.5 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
TEN @ JAC |
Over |
15.5 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
NYJ @ NE |
Over |
11.5 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
DAL @ WAS |
Over |
9.0 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
SD @ PIT |
Over |
8.0 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
|
Over - DET @ CAR |
Over |
4.0 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
CLE @ BUF |
Over |
3.5 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
DEN @ ATL |
Over |
2.0 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Over -
OAK @ MIA |
Over |
1.5 |
-110 |
59.0% |
$112.64 |
| Under -
CHI @ GB |
Under |
5.0 |
-110 |
54.0% |
$103.09 |
| Under -
HOU @ IND |
Under |
9.5 |
-110 |
54.0% |
$103.09 |
| Under -
PHI @ CIN |
Under |
10.0 |
-110 |
54.0% |
$103.09 |
| Under -
STL @ SF |
Under |
14.0 |
-110 |
54.0% |
$103.09 |
| Under -
ARI @ SEA |
Under |
16.5 |
-110 |
54.0% |
$103.09 |
| Under -
NO @ KC |
Under |
26.0 |
-110 |
54.0% |
$103.09 |
ML - Money
Line | AS - Against Spread | Home Team - HT | Road Team - RT
Back
to top | Complete Table |
Money Line Table | Against the Spread Table |
Over/Under Table
Simplified view of all Week 11 predictions
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